Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elena Rybakina have met 6 times since 2020; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 3–2. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 7 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 3, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elena Rybakina are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 19, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Final
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 11, 2020
Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | +0.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Alexandrova and Rybakina posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | L 62 46 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 46 36 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | W 62 75 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | W 62 62 |
| Lois Boisson | W 46 62 62 | W 64 16 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | W 75 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 57 46 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–70 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 81% |
| Sets won | 50% | 73% |
| Games won | 50% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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