Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elena Rybakina have met 6 times since 2020; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 3–2. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 7 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 3, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elena Rybakina are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 19, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Final
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 11, 2020
Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Alexandrova's 50%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 63 36 | W 67 64 76 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | W 75 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | W 64 57 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 61 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | W 63 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 26 63 | W 61 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | L 62 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | W 62 75 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–72 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 83% |
| Sets won | 49% | 74% |
| Games won | 50% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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