Dominic Thiem vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Matteo Berrettini have met 6 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Berrettini leads 3–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Berrettini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 10. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Gstaad (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 75% | 15/20 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 30% | 6/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 28% | 11/40 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 38% | 11/29 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 6/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 9/18 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 17/19 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 79% | 15/19 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 0, Berrettini 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2022
Gstaad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 14, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 23, 2019
Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 1, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.85 |
| ROI % | - | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–48 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 56% |
| Sets won | - | 56% |
| Games won | - | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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