Daniil Medvedev vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฌ๐งJack Draper
#141 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Daniil Medvedev and Jack Draper have met 2 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2024 on clay. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Draper's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Draper
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
May 11, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 3โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Draper's 33%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 36 57 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 36 62 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 57 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | W 61 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | L 57 76 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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