Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
8 meetings ยท sets 17โ4

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#4 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
8wDaniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 8 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 7โ1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 7โ0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 17 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Auger-Aliassime 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jul 31, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2023
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Feb 17, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 26, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Sep 10, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 8โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 67 76 63 67 61 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 76 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 46 64 46 61 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 26 | L 63 36 67 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 36 61 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | W 67 75 76 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 66โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 73% |
| Sets won | 65% | 66% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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