Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
Title8 meetings · sets 17–4
🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#5 · 26 yrs · R
Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 8 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 7–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 17 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Auger-Aliassime 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 31, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2023
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 17, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 26, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 10, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 62 | W 63 46 61 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 67 63 36 76 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 76 46 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 36 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | L 63 75 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 76 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 46 64 46 61 76 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 36 61 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 68% |
| Sets won | 66% | 64% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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