Casper Ruud vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul have met 7 times since 2017; Casper Ruud leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–2. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 16 sets to Paul's 11. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 29, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2023
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 2, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 11, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 30, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ruud's 60%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 26 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 63 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 61 63 | W 75 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 62 75 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 62 36 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 46 67 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 69% |
| Sets won | 64% | 64% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 4 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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