Casper Ruud vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2020; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Medvedev 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 20, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 24, 2021
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 7, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -4.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | W 64 64 36 75 | W 61 62 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | L 46 76 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 62 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 63 76 |
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | W 61 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 46 46 | W 62 67 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | L 67 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 62 | L 06 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 70% |
| Sets won | 64% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.