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Head-to-Head

Casper Ruud vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Casper Ruud

🇳🇴Casper Ruud

#24 · 27 yrs · R

1–3

4 meetings · sets 2–6

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#6 · 30 yrs · R

Title

Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2020; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRuudMedvedev
Wins in straight sets77%68%
Wins a set when losing15%47%
Goes to a deciding set20%36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite56%51%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog57%50%
Tiebreak sets won50%39%
Wins after taking set 193%94%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 189%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Medvedev 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Ruud

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

May 1, 2025

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Quarterfinals

63
75
Ruud

Nov 20, 2021

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

H Hard · Semifinals

46
26
Medvedev

Jun 24, 2021

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca

G Grass · Quarterfinals

57
16
Medvedev

Jan 7, 2020

ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney

H Hard · Round Robin

36
667
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRuudMedvedev
1 or more100%100%
3 or more86%100%
5 or more43%88%
10 or more29%82%
15 or more0%24%
20 or more0%12%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRuudMedvedev
W-L7–311–5
Avg odds1.561.32
ROI %+6.5%-15.1%
Units P/L+0.65u-2.42u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRuudMedvedev
Countries31
Events33
Matches49
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km1,361 mi · 2,191 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 60%).

OpponentRuudMedvedev
Learner Tien
W
64
76
L
46
06
36
Francisco Cerundolo
W
67
64
108
W
76
63
Roman Safiullin
W
62
76
57
06
62
W
75
64
Marin Cilic
W
64
64
36
75
W
61
62
64
Daniel Altmaier
L
36
57
L
46
76
46
Jenson Brooksby
W
63
75
W
62
61
Jannik Sinner
L
46
46
L
26
75
46
Stefanos Tsitsipas
W
67
76
76
L
36
46
Jaume Munar
W
60
61
W
61
63
Fabian Marozsan
L
46
46
W
62
67
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Ruud
WWLWWWLL
W

Learner Tien

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

64
763

Oct 12

W

Bu Yunchaokete

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

61
762

Oct 10

L

Luciano Darderi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

637
36

Oct 1

W

Francisco Cerundolo

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

647
64
108

Sep 25

W

Fnu Nidunjianzan

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4

62
60

Sep 19

W

Rigele Te

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1

61
761

Sep 18

L

Christopher O'Connell

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

L

Joao Fonseca

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

667
36

Aug 8

Medvedev
WLWWWWWW
W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
64
63

Oct 10

L

Novak Djokovic

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Francisco Cerundolo

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

764
63

Oct 4

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 3

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

64
62

Oct 2

W

Andrey Rublev

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final

75
64

Sep 29

W

Roman Safiullin

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals

75
64

Sep 28

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals

63
627
63

Sep 27

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RuudMedvedev ahead↓ Medvedev

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–68 matches

MetricRuudMedvedev
Matches won70%72%
Sets won64%66%
Games won55%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRuudMedvedev
ATP Finals01
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100010
ATP Cup01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRuudMedvedev
Hard02
Clay10
Grass01

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Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.