Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 6 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 15 sets to Tsitsipas's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 2, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 6, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 23, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Final
Apr 22, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 29, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +4.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tsitsipas's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W | L 26 63 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | L 67 75 36 26 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | W 64 75 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 26 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | W 46 76 61 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 36 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 62% |
| Sets won | 78% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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