Carlos Alcaraz vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Reilly Opelka have met 1 time since 2025; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Opelka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Opelka's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | L 36 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 76 67 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 63 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 52% |
| Sets won | 78% | 54% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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