Carlos Alcaraz vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Reilly Opelka have met 1 time since 2025; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Opelka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Opelka's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 46 67 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 63 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 48% |
| Sets won | 80% | 51% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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