Casper Ruud vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Reilly Opelka have met 5 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Houston in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–0. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 10 sets to Opelka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Laver Cup - San Francisco (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Opelka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 19, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
May 20, 2022
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 24, 2021
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 11, 2019
Houston
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -48.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Opelka's 25%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | L 46 46 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 63 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 46 67 | L 57 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | L 63 57 16 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 76 67 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 48% |
| Sets won | 64% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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