Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Reilly Opelka have met 7 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 12 sets to Opelka's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 13, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 15, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · Final
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 15, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | - |
| ROI % | -39.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Opelka posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 76 67 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | L 76 67 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | W 64 63 64 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | W 76 76 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 67 62 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 67 46 | L 63 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 48% |
| Sets won | 65% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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