Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger RunePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rune leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 6 sets to Rune's 3. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Rune | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Holger Rune | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Rune 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Holger Rune.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 20, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Final
Jul 12, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 9, 2021
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard · Round Robin
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rune's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 62 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 75 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 62 61 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 67% |
| Sets won | 80% | 64% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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