Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7Title8 meetings ยท sets 12โ6

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#5 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 8 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5โ3. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3โ3. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 12 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 4, Auger-Aliassime 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 2, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Jun 2, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Mar 16, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 29, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Sep 16, 2022
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Sep 8, 2021
US Open
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ1 | 7โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Auger-Aliassime's 60%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 63 | L 75 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | W 63 76 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | W 46 76 75 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | L 67 63 36 76 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 61 62 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ68 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 68% |
| Sets won | 78% | 64% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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