Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Korda have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Korda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Korda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Korda.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | W 63 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 76 | W 75 61 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | W 64 46 75 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | W 76 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | L 64 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 75 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–47 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 64% |
| Sets won | 47% | 61% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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