Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Korda have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Korda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Korda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Korda.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–8 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.30 | - |
| ROI % | -52.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.24u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Carabelli's 60%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | W 63 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 76 | W 75 61 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | W 64 46 75 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | W 76 61 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 75 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 66% |
| Sets won | 47% | 63% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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