Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¬π§Cameron Norrie
#33 Β· 31 yrs Β· L
5 meetings Β· sets 4β8

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wCameron Norrie and Sebastian Korda have met 5 times since 2021; Sebastian Korda leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 4 sets to Korda's 8. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Korda 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
π― Baseliner
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
US Open
H Hard Β· Round of 128
Jun 23, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 18, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 12, 2021
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | - |
| ROI % | -8.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 8 | β |
| Distance | 3,258 mi Β· 5,243 km | β |
| Route | MEX β CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 60%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 64 46 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 60 63 |
| Michael Zheng | L 76 26 76 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | W 63 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | W 63 57 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | W 63 76 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 46 62 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 64% |
| Sets won | 53% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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