Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2023; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Musetti are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | L 76 26 76 36 67 | W 61 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 46 57 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 36 61 64 | W 75 36 62 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | W 75 36 75 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 64 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 16 46 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 62 67 76 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 53% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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