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Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#17 · 25 yrs · R

3
0–2

2 meetings · sets 1–4

Francisco Cerundolo

🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo

#25 · 28 yrs · R

4

Brandon Nakashima and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2020; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Split Challenger in 2020 on clay. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 1 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNakashimaCerundolo
Wins in straight sets74%75%
Wins a set when losing33%28%
Goes to a deciding set29%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite54%61%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog69%50%
Tiebreak sets won50%53%
Wins after taking set 188%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Cerundolo 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Cerundolo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jun 20, 2026

HSBC Championships - London

G Grass · Semifinals

765
36
46
Cerundolo

Sep 30, 2020

Split Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
16
Cerundolo

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNakashimaCerundolo
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%56%
5 or more91%33%
10 or more43%11%
15 or more14%0%
20 or more10%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNakashimaCerundolo
W-L16–55–4
Avg odds1.871.89
ROI %+38.6%+9.4%
Units P/L+8.10u+0.85u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNakashimaCerundolo
Countries22
Events32
Matches122
Distance1,200 mi · 1,932 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteUSA → CAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Nakashima and Cerundolo posted a 60% win rate.

OpponentNakashimaCerundolo
Nuno Borges
W
63
67
63
L
46
46
Daniil Medvedev
W
67
76
61
W
60
46
75
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
62
75
W
64
67
62
Luciano Darderi
W
62
63
W
62
63
Alex de Minaur
W
76
64
L
63
46
36
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
63
64
W
63
75
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
36
64
67
67
W
63
64
67
64
Alejandro Tabilo
L
46
67
W
60
62
Alexander Blockx
L
63
36
46
L
67
26
Alexander Zverev
L
67
75
46
L
75
06
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Nakashima
LWWWWLWW
L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

W

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
657
63

Aug 20

W

Daniil Medvedev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

637
764
61

Aug 18

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
75

Aug 16

L

Ben Shelton

National Bank Open - Montreal · Final

36
647

Aug 14

W

Rafael Jodar

National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals

763
64

Aug 13

W

Luciano Darderi

National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals

62
63

Aug 11

Cerundolo
LLLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
46

Aug 16

L

Alex Michelsen

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 6

L

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

7611
46
06

Jul 31

L

Jaume Munar

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
46
36

Jun 30

W

Tommy Paul

HSBC Championships - London · Final

647
64
63

Jun 21

W

Brandon Nakashima

HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals

657
63
64

Jun 20

W

Arthur Fery

HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals

761
36
64

Jun 19

W

Jenson Brooksby

HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round

60
64

Jun 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ NakashimaCerundolo ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–61 matches

MetricNakashimaCerundolo
Matches won61%61%
Sets won59%59%
Games won53%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNakashimaCerundolo
ATP 50001
ATP Challenger Tour01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNakashimaCerundolo
Clay01
Grass01

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Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo FAQ

Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.