Aslan Karatsev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2016; Aslan Karatsev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Karatsev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 7 sets to Medvedev's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aslan Karatsev won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 53% | 9/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 3/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 38% | 9/24 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 3, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jun 22, 2022
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.26 |
| ROI % | - | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elias Ymer
Francavilla Challenger · 2nd Round
May 8
Stefano Travaglia
Francavilla Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Petr Brunclik
Ostrava Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–66 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 70% |
| Sets won | 100% | 65% |
| Games won | 72% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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