Aslan Karatsev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2016; Aslan Karatsev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Karatsev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 7 sets to Medvedev's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aslan Karatsev won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 47% | 7/15 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 50% | 2/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 39% | 9/23 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 3, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aslan Karatsev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jun 22, 2022
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.32 |
| ROI % | - | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–68 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 72% |
| Sets won | 100% | 66% |
| Games won | 69% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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