Aslan Karatsev vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Lorenzo Sonego have met 5 times since 2021; Aslan Karatsev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Karatsev leads 2–1. Sonego has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 7 sets to Sonego's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 8/21 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 47% | 9/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 8/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 0, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 12, 2022
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 13, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 17, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.57 |
| ROI % | - | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–45 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 44% |
| Sets won | 100% | 46% |
| Games won | 69% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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