Aslan Karatsev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Atlanta Open - Atlanta (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 6/16 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 58% | 11/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aslan Karatsev and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2024
Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 17, 2023
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2023
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.92 |
| ROI % | - | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elias Ymer
Francavilla Challenger · 2nd Round
May 8
Stefano Travaglia
Francavilla Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Petr Brunclik
Ostrava Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–56 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 66% |
| Sets won | 100% | 59% |
| Games won | 72% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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