Aslan Karatsev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Atlanta Open - Atlanta (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 36% | 5/14 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aslan Karatsev and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2024
Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 17, 2023
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2023
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.04 |
| ROI % | - | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–63 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 71% |
| Sets won | 100% | 63% |
| Games won | 69% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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