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Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma NavarroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka

#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

2–1

3 meetings · sets 5–2

Emma Navarro

🇺🇸Emma Navarro

#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

5w

Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Navarro have met 3 times since 2024; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 5 sets to Navarro's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSabalenkaNavarro
Wins in straight sets86%56%
Wins a set when losing64%50%
Goes to a deciding set23%47%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite70%37%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—71%
Tiebreak sets won68%50%
Wins after taking set 194%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 186%64%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Navarro 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sabalenka

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Navarro

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Navarro are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Sep 5, 2024

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · Semifinals

63
762
Sabalenka

Jun 3, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 4th Round

62
63
Sabalenka

Mar 13, 2024

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

36
63
26
Navarro

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSabalenkaNavarro
1 or more93%90%
3 or more87%90%
5 or more67%70%
10 or more27%30%
15 or more0%20%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSabalenkaNavarro
W-L10–46–4
Avg odds1.172.41
ROI %-18.6%+21.7%
Units P/L-2.61u+2.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSabalenkaNavarro
Countries1—
Events1—
Matches2—
Distance0 mi · 0 km—
RouteROU—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Navarro's 60%).

OpponentSabalenkaNavarro
Jessica Pegula
W
75
62
L
63
46
36
Karolina Muchova
W
63
64
W
63
75
Caty Mcnally
W
64
62
W
36
62
63
Sara Bejlek
L
67
46
W
61
64
Shuai Zhang
W
63
64
W
26
76
62
Marta Kostyuk
W
64
63
L
26
64
16
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
W
64
62
W
76
62
Diana Shnaider
L
63
57
06
L
36
36
Iva Jovic
W
63
60
L
06
36
Victoria Mboko
W
76
64
W
60
57
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sabalenka
LWLWWWWW
L

Nikola Bartunkova

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
36

Oct 4

W

Renata Zarazua

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

61
63

Oct 2

L

Elena Rybakina

U.S. Open - New York · Final

46
75
26

Sep 12

W

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

75
62

Sep 10

W

Linda Noskova

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

761
36
76

Sep 8

W

Taylor Townsend

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

64
63

Sep 6

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
64

Sep 4

W

Polina Iatcenko

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
61

Sep 3

Navarro
LWWWWLWL
L

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

63
46
36

Sep 9

W

Anna Kalinskaya

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

64
62

Sep 7

W

Karolina Muchova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
75

Sep 4

W

Caty Mcnally

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

36
62
63

Sep 2

W

Lois Boisson

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

766
617
63

Aug 31

L

Jessica Pegula

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

57
26

Aug 18

W

Anhelina Kalinina

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
64
62

Aug 16

L

Alina Korneeva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

26
26

Aug 5

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SabalenkaSabalenka ahead↓ Navarro

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–62 matches

MetricSabalenkaNavarro
Matches won82%56%
Sets won79%54%
Games won59%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSabalenkaNavarro
Grand Slam20
WTA 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSabalenkaNavarro
Hard11
Clay10

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Navarro FAQ

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.