🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
11 meetings · sets 17–4
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#53 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina have met 11 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 9–2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 5,134 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
11 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2026
French Open
C Clay ·
May 25, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin
G Grass · Round of 16
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 1, 2022
San Jose
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 29, 2021
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 28, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Sep 30, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -5.11u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 06 64 36 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 67 63 26 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 61 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 26 36 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 76 26 46 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | W 64 60 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 57 64 46 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 63 36 67 |
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Daria Kasatkina
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Elsa Jacquemot
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Anna Blinkova
Nottingham ·
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch ·
Jun 8
Aryna Sabalenka
French Open ·
May 30
Susan Bandecchi
French Open ·
May 28
Aryna Sabalenka
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Susan Bandecchi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
French Open ·
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–61 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 45% |
| Sets won | 82% | 51% |
| Games won | 60% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 5 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
