Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline CristianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐ท๐ดJaqueline Cristian
#43 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9wDaria Kasatkina and Jaqueline Cristian have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Cristian has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Cristian's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jaqueline Cristian won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Cristian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Jaqueline Cristian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 43% | 17/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Cristian 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Cristian
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jaqueline Cristian.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 14, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 5, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | 1โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 3.61 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +0.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Cristian posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 46 64 76 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 61 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 16 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 64 75 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | L 64 16 46 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 46 60 64 | W 62 63 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Qinwen Zheng
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Victoria Mboko
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Semifinals
May 22
Daria Kasatkina
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Quarterfinals
May 21
Clara Tauson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Mccartney Kessler
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ40 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 45% |
| Sets won | 47% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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