Daria Kasatkina vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 10–6
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#37 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Peyton Stearns have met 7 times since 2023; Daria Kasatkina leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 3–1. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 2–1. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 10 sets to Stearns's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 3, Stearns 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Peyton Stearns.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 19, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -15.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -2.22u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Stearns posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 76 62 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | W 63 62 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 46 63 57 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 06 63 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 57 36 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | W 64 60 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 46 57 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–48 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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