Andrey Rublev vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Francisco Cerundolo have met 5 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. On hard courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Cerundolo has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 10. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Cerundolo 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 29, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2024
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 22, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 21, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +14.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +2.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Cerundolo posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 36 63 26 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 63 46 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 67 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W 26 64 62 61 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 62 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 60 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 57 16 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–60 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 63% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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