Andrey Rublev vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Francisco Cerundolo have met 5 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. On hard courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Cerundolo has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 10. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Cerundolo 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 29, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2024
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 22, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 21, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Cerundolo posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 62 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 60 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 57 16 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 67 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 75 16 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 64 63 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 63 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–54 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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