Andrey Rublev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2021; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Citi Open - Washington (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 7, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 67 64 67 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | W 63 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 36 46 57 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W 76 64 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 64 36 36 57 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | W 76 75 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–63 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 71% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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