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Head-to-Head

Andrey Rublev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Andrey Rublev

🇷🇺Andrey Rublev

#24 · 28 yrs · R

1–3

4 meetings · sets 4–8

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#12 · 28 yrs · R

4

Andrey Rublev and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2021; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Citi Open - Washington (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRublevTiafoe
Wins in straight sets71%57%
Wins a set when losing39%38%
Goes to a deciding set33%41%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog17%65%
Tiebreak sets won44%58%
Wins after taking set 181%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 165%63%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Tiafoe 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rublev

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Aug 2, 2024

Citi Open - Washington

H Hard · Quarterfinals

46
637
Tiafoe

Sep 7, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · Quarterfinals

637
607
46
Tiafoe

Mar 15, 2022

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
64
Rublev

Sep 3, 2021

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
36
667
64
16
Tiafoe

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRublevTiafoe
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%95%
5 or more82%60%
10 or more36%10%
15 or more18%0%
20 or more9%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRublevTiafoe
W-L6–515–5
Avg odds1.441.92
ROI %-22.6%+31.0%
Units P/L-2.48u+6.20u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRublevTiafoe
Countries22
Events22
Matches36
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 40%).

OpponentRublevTiafoe
Arthur Fils
L
26
67
L
36
61
06
Lorenzo Musetti
L
76
57
46
W
76
75
Learner Tien
W
64
64
W
64
46
64
Nuno Borges
L
36
46
W
64
64
Lorenzo Sonego
W
62
63
W
63
64
Andrea Pellegrino
W
76
67
63
L
67
16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
57
36
46
W
36
63
76
Hubert Hurkacz
L
36
26
W
67
76
64
67
64
Flavio Cobolli
L
67
36
W
62
76
Matteo Arnaldi
W
64
62
63
L
67
76
63
67
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rublev
LWLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

36
46

Aug 18

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

765
61

Aug 16

L

Juncheng Shang

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
64
657

Aug 4

L

Luca Van Assche

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals

63
36
46

Jul 24

W

Timofey Skatov

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round

61
61

Jul 23

W

Luciano Darderi

Nordea Open - Bastad · Final

64
63

Jul 19

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals

64
46
64

Jul 18

W

Sebastian Baez

Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals

61
62

Jul 17

Tiafoe
LWWWWWWL
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

36
61
06

Aug 23

W

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
63

Aug 23

W

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 22

W

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
64

Aug 20

W

Learner Tien

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
46
64

Aug 19

W

Lorenzo Sonego

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 17

W

Marin Cilic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
62
62

Aug 5

L

Terence Atmane

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
46

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RublevTiafoe ahead↓ Tiafoe

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–56 matches

MetricRublevTiafoe
Matches won58%66%
Sets won56%59%
Games won52%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRublevTiafoe
Grand Slam02
ATP World Tour 50001
ATP World Tour Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRublevTiafoe
Hard13

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Andrey Rublev vs Frances Tiafoe FAQ

Frances Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.