Andrey Rublev vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Dominic Thiem have met 7 times since 2017; Andrey Rublev leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Vienna in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Rublev has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Thiem's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Thiem 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Dominic Thiem are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 15, 2022
Gijon Open - Gijon
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 19, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2020
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 20, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2017
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | -14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.