Andrey Rublev vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Dominic Thiem have met 7 times since 2017; Andrey Rublev leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Vienna in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Rublev has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Thiem's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Thiem 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Oct 15, 2022
Gijon
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 19, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2020
Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 20, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2017
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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