Andrey Rublev vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Denis Shapovalov have met 5 times since 2017; Andrey Rublev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–2. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 8 sets to Shapovalov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 17, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 8, 2017
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shapovalov's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | L 36 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | W 63 57 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | L 46 57 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 36 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 57 64 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 46 26 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | W 76 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | W 64 36 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 62 36 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 46% |
| Sets won | 56% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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