Andrey Rublev vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Denis Shapovalov have met 5 times since 2017; Andrey Rublev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–2. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 8 sets to Shapovalov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 17, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 8, 2017
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 46 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 75 36 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | W 64 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 76 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | W 26 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 62 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 67 76 36 46 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 63 36 46 | W 60 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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