Andrey Rublev vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Cameron Norrie have met 6 times since 2020; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Norrie's 7. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Norrie 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 29, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 5, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 2, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 16, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -1.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Norrie posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | W 57 76 61 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 76 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 63 36 46 | L 76 26 26 36 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 26 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | W 63 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
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