Andrey Rublev vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Cameron Norrie have met 6 times since 2020; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Norrie's 7. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 45% | 23/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Norrie 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 29, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 5, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 2, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 16, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Norrie's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 26 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | W 63 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 67 26 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 26 57 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 62 46 76 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | W 62 67 76 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 46 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
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