Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Daniil Medvedev have met 6 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 6 sets to Medvedev's 12. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 11, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 28, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 25, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 30%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 67 46 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 62 67 67 26 | W 64 62 |
| Hugo Gaston | L | W 64 62 64 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 57 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 61 62 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 36 63 75 | L 67 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 75 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | L 06 06 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–68 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 72% |
| Sets won | 36% | 66% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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