Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Daniil Medvedev have met 6 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 6 sets to Medvedev's 12. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 11, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 28, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 25, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -4.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 30%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 57 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 61 62 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 36 63 75 | L 67 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 75 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | L 06 06 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 62 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 62 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–66 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 70% |
| Sets won | 35% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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