Alexander Bublik vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Daniil Medvedev have met 9 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 5–0. On clay courts Medvedev leads 3–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bublik leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 3 sets to Medvedev's 17. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Medvedev 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 1, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 10, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 11, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | L 76 67 16 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | W 46 64 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 67 46 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 64 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 46 06 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 75 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–68 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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