Alexander Bublik vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Daniil Medvedev have met 9 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 5–0. On clay courts Medvedev leads 3–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bublik leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 3 sets to Medvedev's 17. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Medvedev 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 1, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 10, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 11, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 36 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | L 67 67 57 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 46 06 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 64 26 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 64 60 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–66 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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