Alexander Bublik vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Carlos Alcaraz have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 0 sets to Alcaraz's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Alcaraz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 10, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | - |
| ROI % | -6.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 61 46 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 67 75 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 67 63 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 61 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 64 62 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 76 | W 62 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | W 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | W 75 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 86% |
| Sets won | 57% | 80% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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