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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3
0–3

3 meetings · sets 0–6

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#6 · 30 yrs · R

Title

Alex Michelsen and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2025; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle in 2025 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenMedvedev
Wins in straight sets69%68%
Wins a set when losing33%47%
Goes to a deciding set32%36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%51%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%50%
Tiebreak sets won55%39%
Wins after taking set 1100%94%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Medvedev 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Michelsen.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 11, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

26
46
Medvedev

Jan 10, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · Semifinals

46
26
Medvedev

Jun 20, 2025

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle

G Grass · Quarterfinals

46
36
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMichelsenMedvedev
1 or more95%100%
3 or more85%100%
5 or more65%88%
10 or more20%82%
15 or more5%24%
20 or more5%12%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
W-L13–611–5
Avg odds1.811.32
ROI %-1.6%-15.1%
Units P/L-0.31u-2.42u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
Countries21
Events23
Matches29
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,361 mi · 2,191 km
RouteJPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 60%).

OpponentMichelsenMedvedev
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
46
46
L
36
67
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
61
36
61
W
46
64
63
Francisco Cerundolo
W
63
64
W
76
63
Carlos Alcaraz
L
67
64
16
W
63
76
Frances Tiafoe
L
75
63
57
36
67
L
67
46
67
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
76
64
64
W
63
64
Daniel Merida Aguilar
W
76
64
63
W
36
63
75
62
Arthur Rinderknech
L
36
36
W
64
64
64
Brandon Nakashima
W
63
64
64
L
76
67
16
Jesper de Jong
W
64
64
W
75
62
76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Medvedev
WLWWWWWW
W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
64
63

Oct 10

L

Novak Djokovic

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Francisco Cerundolo

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

764
63

Oct 4

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 3

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

64
62

Oct 2

W

Andrey Rublev

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final

75
64

Sep 29

W

Roman Safiullin

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals

75
64

Sep 28

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals

63
627
63

Sep 27

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenMedvedev ahead↓ Medvedev

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
Matches won60%72%
Sets won60%66%
Games won53%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenMedvedev
ATP 50001
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenMedvedev
Hard02
Grass01

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Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.