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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#45 · 21 yrs · R

0–3

3 meetings · sets 0–6

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#8 · 30 yrs · R

Alex Michelsen and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2025; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle in 2025 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Medvedev's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenMedvedev
Wins in straight sets69%71%
Wins a set when losing32%53%
Goes to a deciding set31%36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%49%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%60%
Tiebreak sets won59%38%
Wins after taking set 1100%90%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%74%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Medvedev 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 11, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

26
46
Medvedev

Jan 10, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · Semifinals

46
26
Medvedev

Jun 20, 2025

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle

G Grass · Quarterfinals

46
36
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMichelsenMedvedev
1 or more100%100%
3 or more78%100%
5 or more56%77%
10 or more17%54%
15 or more0%15%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
W-L12–56–6
Avg odds1.461.26
ROI %-11.2%-39.7%
Units P/L-1.91u-4.76u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
Countries22
Events33
Matches64
Distance1,200 mi · 1,932 km1,024 mi · 1,648 km
RouteUSA → CAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).

OpponentMichelsenMedvedev
Jesper de Jong
W
64
64
W
75
62
76
Francisco Cerundolo
W
63
64
L
06
64
57
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
61
36
61
L
67
67
57
Adam Walton
L
67
46
L
26
61
16
61
46
Daniel Merida
W
63
64
W
36
63
75
62
Nishesh Basavareddy
W
76
63
36
63
W
62
63
Learner Tien
L
46
63
16
L
46
06
36
Stan Wawrinka
W
76
76
W
62
63
Sebastian Baez
W
75
63
W
64
60
Jannik Sinner
L
57
67
L
26
75
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LWLWWLWW
L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

W

Jesper de Jong

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

64
64

Aug 14

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

46
764
16

Aug 7

W

Francisco Cerundolo

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 6

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

61
36
61

Aug 4

L

Taylor Fritz

Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

16
63
667

Jul 31

W

Adrian Mannarino

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

64
763

Jul 30

W

Mackenzie McDonald

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
75

Jul 28

Medvedev
LLWLLWWL
L

Martin Damm

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

57
36

Aug 26

L

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

763
647
16

Aug 18

W

Marco Trungelliti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

64
75

Aug 16

L

Botic van de Zandschulp

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
657

Aug 6

L

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

647
657
57

Jul 3

W

Daniel Merida

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

36
63
75
62

Jul 1

W

Marin Cilic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

61
62
64

Jun 29

L

Daniel Altmaier

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals

46
766
46

Jun 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenMedvedev ahead↓ Medvedev

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–66 matches

MetricMichelsenMedvedev
Matches won58%70%
Sets won56%65%
Games won51%55%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenMedvedev
ATP 50001
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenMedvedev
Hard02
Grass01

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Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.