Alex Michelsen vs Corentin MoutetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet have met 4 times since 2024; Corentin Moutet leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2024 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 2 sets to Moutet's 7. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Moutet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Corentin Moutet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Moutet 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Michelsen.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 27, 2025
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 6, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Moutet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Corentin Moutet | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -37.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Moutet's 30%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 64 16 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 61 | W 64 75 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | L 64 46 57 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 75 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 64 46 46 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 16 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | W 76 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | L 63 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 43% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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