Alex Michelsen vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Arthur Rinderknech have met 4 times since 2024; Arthur Rinderknech leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Boss Open - Stuttgart in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Rinderknech leads 2–0. Rinderknech has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Rinderknech's 8. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at BMW Open - Munich (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 49% | 22/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Rinderknech 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 13, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 46% | 5/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -37.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -4.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Rinderknech's 44%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | L 67 63 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 67 62 46 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | W 64 64 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | L 75 67 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | W 63 76 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 64 46 36 75 36 | W 75 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | W 46 62 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | L 76 36 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 48% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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