Alex Michelsen vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Arthur Rinderknech have met 4 times since 2024; Arthur Rinderknech leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Boss Open - Stuttgart in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Rinderknech leads 2–0. Rinderknech has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Rinderknech's 8. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at BMW Open - Munich (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Rinderknech 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 13, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 33% | 3/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -42.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -4.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rinderknech's 20%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 64 16 | L 76 36 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 63 57 36 67 | W |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 64 64 | L 67 76 810 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 64 64 | L 67 75 57 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | L 67 63 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 67 62 46 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | L 75 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 64 46 36 75 36 | W 75 62 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 42% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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