Arthur Rinderknech vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Arthur Rinderknech
#33 · 31 yrs · R
4w6 meetings · sets 3–14
🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz
#3 · 23 yrs · R
7TitleArthur Rinderknech and Carlos Alcaraz have met 6 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 3 sets to Alcaraz's 14. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 17, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 20, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 20, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 1, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 11–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | -51.2% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.12u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | — | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rinderknech's 20%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 64 67 67 | W 63 63 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 62 75 | W 57 63 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 63 | W 76 46 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | W 61 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 61 46 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 57 46 61 67 | W 26 62 63 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | W 63 60 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 86% |
| Sets won | 47% | 78% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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