Arthur Rinderknech vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Carlos Alcaraz have met 6 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 3 sets to Alcaraz's 14. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 17, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 20, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 20, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 1, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | - |
| ROI % | -37.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rinderknech's 20%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | W 62 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | W 61 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 61 46 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 57 46 61 67 | W 26 62 63 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | W 63 60 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 75 62 | W 67 64 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 46 62 64 | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 86% |
| Sets won | 50% | 80% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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