Alex Michelsen vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Fritz leads 2–1. Fritz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 5 sets to Fritz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 31, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 22, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 17% | 4/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Michelsen's 50%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 46 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | W 76 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | W 63 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 76 63 | W 63 67 61 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 62 61 | W 57 75 75 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | L 67 67 76 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | W 76 26 64 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 06 64 16 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 64 57 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | L 46 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–68 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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