Alex de Minaur and Reilly Opelka have met 6 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 13, 2022
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 23, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 24, 2019
Atlanta
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 16
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Opelka's 20%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | L 57 26 76 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 76 67 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 46 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 46 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | W 76 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 76 67 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | W 67 62 76 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Nuno Borges
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 5
Ethan Quinn
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |