Alex de Minaur vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Draper's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2023
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Draper's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | W 61 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | L 16 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | L 57 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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