Alex de Minaur vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Draper's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2023
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Minaur and Draper posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L | W 46 64 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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