Alex de Minaur vs Holger RunePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Holger Rune have met 5 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Stockholm Open - Stockholm in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rune leads 3–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Rune's 7. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Rune | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Holger Rune | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Rune 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Holger Rune.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 24, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 3, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 26, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -16.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Minaur and Rune posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 36 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | L 62 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 67% |
| Sets won | 62% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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