Alex de Minaur vs Holger RunePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Holger Rune have met 5 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Stockholm Open - Stockholm in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rune leads 3–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Rune's 7. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Rune | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Holger Rune | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Rune 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 24, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 3, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 26, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -0.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 67% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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