Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 7 times since 2017; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Drummondville in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1. On clay courts Minaur leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Minaur leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 11. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Auger-Aliassime 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Final
Sep 3, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 27, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, F, CAN-AUS 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 2
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 11, 2018
Braga
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2017
Drummondville
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Auger-Aliassime posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 64 46 46 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 67 76 63 67 61 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 62 | W 63 76 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | W 46 60 75 61 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | L 63 36 67 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | W 67 63 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 73% |
| Sets won | 62% | 66% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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