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Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Alex MichelsenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex de Minaur

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur

#9 · 27 yrs · R

2–1

3 meetings · sets 6–2

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3

Alex de Minaur and Alex Michelsen have met 3 times since 2024; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Michelsen's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicatorde MinaurMichelsen
Wins in straight sets68%69%
Wins a set when losing42%33%
Goes to a deciding set36%32%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog50%47%
Tiebreak sets won73%55%
Wins after taking set 188%100%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%79%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Michelsen 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 20, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 4th Round

60
765
63
Minaur

May 28, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

61
60
62
Minaur

Feb 21, 2024

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
16
Michelsen

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMinaurMichelsen
1 or more100%95%
3 or more82%85%
5 or more47%65%
10 or more12%20%
15 or more0%5%
20 or more0%5%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMinaurMichelsen
W-L14–513–6
Avg odds1.581.81
ROI %+8.6%-1.6%
Units P/L+1.64u-0.31u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMinaurMichelsen
Countries22
Events32
Matches72
Distance5,722 mi · 9,208 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteGBR → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Michelsen posted a 60% win rate.

OpponentMinaurMichelsen
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
46
57
26
L
46
46
Mariano Navone
W
76
62
W
26
62
75
Carlos Alcaraz
L
57
26
16
L
67
64
16
Frances Tiafoe
W
63
64
75
L
75
63
57
36
67
Brandon Nakashima
L
67
46
W
63
64
64
Taylor Fritz
W
76
63
L
36
46
Cameron Norrie
L
75
67
16
W
75
67
64
Francisco Cerundolo
W
36
64
63
W
63
64
James Duckworth
W
62
76
W
67
76
63
Adrian Mannarino
W
63
62
62
W
64
76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur
WLWWWWWW
W

Rei Sakamoto

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

766
64

Oct 11

L

Novak Djokovic

China Open - Beijing · Final

Oct 6

W

Hubert Hurkacz

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Andrey Rublev

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

16
62
63

Oct 4

W

Quentin Halys

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

36
765
75

Oct 3

W

Mariano Navone

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

764
62

Oct 1

W

Alexander Zverev

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

26
765
119

Sep 26

W

Kamil Majchrzak

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4

63
63

Sep 20

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MinaurMinaur ahead↓ Michelsen

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–69 matches

MetricMinaurMichelsen
Matches won67%60%
Sets won63%60%
Games won54%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMinaurMichelsen
Grand Slam20
ATP 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMinaurMichelsen
Hard11
Clay10

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Alex de Minaur vs Alex Michelsen FAQ

Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.