Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w5 meetings · sets 3–13
🇺🇸Tommy Paul
#21 · 29 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2023; Tommy Paul leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 4–0. Paul has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Paul's 13. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 19, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 1, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 26, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 19, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 64 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 61 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | W 63 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | W 75 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–51 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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