Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w7 meetings · sets 4–13
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#8 · 30 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Daniil Medvedev have met 7 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 5–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Medvedev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Medvedev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 29, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
May 5, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 76 67 16 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 64 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | W 62 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 62 67 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | L 26 61 16 61 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | L 46 76 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | L 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–66 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 60% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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