Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title7 meetings · sets 4–13
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
TitleAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Daniil Medvedev have met 7 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 5–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Medvedev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Medvedev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 29, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
May 5, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +22.7% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.82u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 67 46 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 62 61 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | L 06 06 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 75 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 76 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 76 67 16 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 64 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–68 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 72% |
| Sets won | 63% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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