Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

#26 · 27 yrs · R

Title
2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–2

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#19 · 25 yrs · R

3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fokina leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorDavidovich FokinaNakashima
Wins in straight sets75%74%
Wins a set when losing44%40%
Goes to a deciding set32%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite63%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%75%
Tiebreak sets won57%50%
Wins after taking set 185%85%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Nakashima 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Fokina

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth
vs

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 6, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 1st Round

647
46
Nakashima

Mar 24, 2023

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
765
Fokina

Jan 9, 2023

Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide

H Hard · 1st Round

62
763
Fokina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeFokinaNakashima
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%95%
5 or more71%91%
10 or more0%52%
15 or more0%10%
20 or more0%5%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricFokinaNakashima
W-L6–115–6
Avg odds1.631.84
ROI %+40.2%+27.8%
Units P/L+2.82u+5.84u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricFokinaNakashima
Countries23
Events33
Matches74
Distance3,172 mi · 5,105 km7,032 mi · 11,317 km
RouteCHN → JPN → CHNGBR → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 50%).

OpponentFokinaNakashima
Frances Tiafoe
W
76
46
76
L
57
36
Matteo Berrettini
L
61
67
46
W
76
75
Ugo Humbert
L
36
75
67
L
36
26
Nikoloz Basilashvili
W
46
64
63
L
67
46
Alexandre Muller
W
61
75
L
26
57
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
W
64
64
W
63
75
Jakub Mensik
W
62
46
62
W
61
36
107
Alex Michelsen
W
64
64
L
36
46
46
Daniel Altmaier
W
75
63
W
62
61
Alex de Minaur
L
26
64
46
W
76
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Fokina
WWLWWWWL
W

Frances Tiafoe

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

764
46
766

Oct 11

W

Jenson Brooksby

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

61
63

Oct 9

L

Matteo Berrettini

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

61
617
46

Oct 1

W

Hubert Hurkacz

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final

64
767

Sep 29

W

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals

46
64
63

Sep 28

W

Alexandre Muller

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals

61
75

Sep 27

W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 26

L

Alex Molcan

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

63
16
26

Jul 16

Nakashima
LWLWLWLW
L

Alexander Bublik

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

767
36
657

Oct 11

W

Matteo Berrettini

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

764
75

Oct 9

L

Ugo Humbert

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

36
26

Oct 1

W

Jakub Mensik

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

61
36
107

Sep 25

L

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

36
46
46

Sep 2

W

Sebastian Baez

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

62
61
60

Aug 31

L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ FokinaFokina ahead↓ Nakashima

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches

MetricFokinaNakashima
Matches won65%59%
Sets won63%58%
Games won53%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageFokinaNakashima
ATP 25011
ATP Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceFokinaNakashima
Hard21

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon Nakashima FAQ

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.