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Head-to-Head

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

#27 · 27 yrs · R

7w
2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–2

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#17 · 25 yrs · R

3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fokina leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorDavidovich FokinaNakashima
Wins in straight sets79%74%
Wins a set when losing35%33%
Goes to a deciding set27%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite66%54%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog42%69%
Tiebreak sets won50%50%
Wins after taking set 187%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 183%74%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Nakashima 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Fokina

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth
vs

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 6, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 1st Round

647
46
Nakashima

Mar 24, 2023

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
765
Fokina

Jan 9, 2023

Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide

H Hard · 1st Round

62
763
Fokina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeFokinaNakashima
1 or more87%100%
3 or more80%100%
5 or more80%91%
10 or more7%43%
15 or more0%14%
20 or more0%10%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricFokinaNakashima
W-L10–416–5
Avg odds1.631.87
ROI %+2.7%+38.6%
Units P/L+0.38u+8.10u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricFokinaNakashima
Countries—2
Events—3
Matches—12
Distance—1,200 mi · 1,932 km
Route—USA → CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fokina's 50%).

OpponentFokinaNakashima
Daniil Medvedev
L
36
67
W
67
76
61
Daniel Altmaier
W
75
63
W
62
61
Alex de Minaur
L
26
64
46
W
76
64
Jakub Mensik
W
62
46
62
W
76
36
64
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
76
67
36
76
16
L
75
16
67
67
Marton Fucsovics
W
76
62
63
W
63
63
Fabian Marozsan
W
63
60
63
L
67
16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
W
64
64
76
W
63
75
Mattia Bellucci
L
26
76
16
W
63
64
Quentin Halys
L
67
46
W
62
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Fokina
LWLWWWWW
L

Alex Molcan

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

63
16
26

Jul 16

W

Marco Trungelliti

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

64
75

Jul 15

L

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

764
667
36
762
16

Jul 5

W

Marton Fucsovics

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

763
62
63

Jul 3

W

Fabian Marozsan

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

63
60
63

Jul 1

W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

64
64
762

Jun 29

W

Ethan Quinn

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final

764
63

Jun 27

W

Fabian Marozsan

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals

57
62
64

Jun 26

Nakashima
LWWWWLWW
L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

W

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
657
63

Aug 20

W

Daniil Medvedev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

637
764
61

Aug 18

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
75

Aug 16

L

Ben Shelton

National Bank Open - Montreal · Final

36
647

Aug 14

W

Rafael Jodar

National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals

763
64

Aug 13

W

Luciano Darderi

National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals

62
63

Aug 11

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ FokinaFokina ahead↓ Nakashima

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–61 matches

MetricFokinaNakashima
Matches won61%61%
Sets won60%59%
Games won52%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageFokinaNakashima
ATP 25001
ATP World Tour Masters 100010
ATP World Tour 25010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceFokinaNakashima
Hard21

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon Nakashima FAQ

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.