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Head-to-Head

Tommy Paul vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

4–0

4 meetings · sets 8–1

Ugo Humbert

🇫🇷Ugo Humbert

#32 · 28 yrs · L

Tommy Paul and Ugo Humbert have met 4 times since 2018; Tommy Paul leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–0. Paul has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Paul has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 1. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorPaulHumbert
Wins in straight sets57%77%
Wins a set when losing57%50%
Goes to a deciding set48%35%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite38%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog100%70%
Tiebreak sets won62%70%
Wins after taking set 179%85%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 161%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 3, Humbert 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Humbert

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jun 20, 2026

HSBC Championships - London

G Grass · Semifinals

63
63
Paul

Mar 11, 2024

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
64
Paul

Aug 16, 2023

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

61
764
Paul

Nov 7, 2018

Champaign

H Hard · Round of 32

64
46
62
Paul

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomePaulHumbert
1 or more100%100%
3 or more92%100%
5 or more75%43%
10 or more17%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricPaulHumbert
W-L8–52–5
Avg odds1.812.05
ROI %+1.3%-42.7%
Units P/L+0.17u-2.99u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricPaulHumbert
Countries22
Events22
Matches23
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Humbert's 60%).

OpponentPaulHumbert
Dino Prizmic
W
62
63
57
64
L
16
57
Zizou Bergs
W
61
62
L
26
57
64
63
36
Jenson Brooksby
W
46
64
76
W
63
62
Francisco Cerundolo
L
76
46
36
L
46
36
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
W
63
76
W
63
57
76
Rinky Hijikata
W
46
63
75
64
W
61
62
Botic van de Zandschulp
W
76
63
W
63
64
Casper Ruud
L
64
76
46
67
57
L
26
36
Lorenzo Sonego
W
63
62
64
W
67
60
63
Adrian Mannarino
W
62
26
64
W
63
64
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Humbert
LLWLLLLW
L

Arthur Gea

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
63
16

Oct 9

L

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

75
46
46

Oct 3

W

Brandon Nakashima

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

63
62

Oct 1

L

Michael Zheng

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
36

Aug 16

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
36

Aug 6

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
36

Aug 5

L

Ben Shelton

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

763
36
46

Jul 31

W

Andres Martin

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

62
75

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ PaulPaul ahead↓ Humbert

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–58 matches

MetricPaulHumbert
Matches won69%55%
Sets won64%56%
Games won54%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StagePaulHumbert
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100020
ATP Challenger Tour10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfacePaulHumbert
Hard30
Grass10

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Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert FAQ

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 4–0 over 4 meetings.