Tommy Paul vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tommy Paul and Ugo Humbert have met 4 times since 2018; Tommy Paul leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–0. Paul has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Paul has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 1. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tommy Paul | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 4/4 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 3, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 7, 2018
Champaign
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paul | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tommy Paul | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +12.2% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Humbert's 60%).
| Opponent | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | W 61 62 | L 26 57 64 63 36 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 46 64 76 | W 63 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 46 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 63 57 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 46 63 75 64 | W 61 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 63 | W 63 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 76 46 67 57 | L 26 36 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 62 64 | W 67 60 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 62 26 64 | W 63 64 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 64 36 | L 36 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 56% |
| Sets won | 64% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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