Taylor Fritz vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈTaylor Fritz
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Title8 meetings Β· sets 9β8

πΊπΈTommy Paul
#21 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul have met 8 times since 2017; they are level 4β4. Their first meeting came at Winnetka in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 4β4. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fritz leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Fritz has taken 9 sets to Paul's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fritz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Taylor Fritz | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 20/36 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 23/56 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 18/50 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 22/35 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 20/31 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fritz 4, Paul 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fritz
π€ Servebot
Paul
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Final
Mar 3, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Mar 28, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Nov 10, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Nov 12, 2017
Champaign
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 8, 2017
Winnetka
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fritz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Taylor Fritz | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 96% | 23/24 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 79% | 19/24 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 10/24 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 17% | 4/24 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19β5 | 10β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fritz's 50%).
| Opponent | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 46 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 57 61 63 | W 64 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 57 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 64 | L 57 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 76 64 64 | L 67 76 36 76 16 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 46 63 64 76 | W 63 62 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | W 75 46 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington Β· Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51β68 matches
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 69% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 4 |
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