Taylor Fritz vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul have met 8 times since 2017; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at Winnetka in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 4–4. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fritz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fritz has taken 9 sets to Paul's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fritz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Taylor Fritz | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 21/48 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 15/43 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 18/30 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fritz 4, Paul 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Final
Mar 3, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 28, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 10, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 12, 2017
Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 8, 2017
Winnetka
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fritz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Taylor Fritz | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fritz's 50%).
| Opponent | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 64 1113 | L 46 36 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 63 64 36 46 46 | L 76 46 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 76 64 64 | W 64 36 67 61 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 46 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 57 61 63 | W 64 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 57 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 64 | L 57 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 46 63 64 76 | W 63 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 69% |
| Sets won | 59% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 4 |
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