Sebastian Baez vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2025; Tomas Machac leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Machac leads 2–0. Machac has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Baez has taken 2 sets to Machac's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 8, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Machac's 50%).
| Opponent | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 16 63 64 | W 64 64 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 75 57 57 | L 36 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 63 36 26 | W 64 64 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 75 63 | W 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 26 | L 46 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | L 26 76 67 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | W 26 64 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 61 | L 46 76 26 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 46 75 64 | L 46 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–64 matches
| Metric | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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