Jannik Sinner vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac have met 4 times since 2024; Jannik Sinner leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 8 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 42/46 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 5/47 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 42/47 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 54% | 7/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 44/44 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 95% | 42/44 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 3, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 16, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 27, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.95 |
| ROI % | - | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Machac's 40%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | L 46 26 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 62 | W 64 64 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | L 46 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 76 | L 46 64 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 26 76 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | W 64 67 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 60 62 | W 64 16 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | L 46 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–61 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 95% | 48% |
| Sets won | 89% | 48% |
| Games won | 62% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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