Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 8 times since 2018; Rafael Nadal leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 3–1. On hard courts Nadal leads 3–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Nadal leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Nadal has taken 16 sets to Tsitsipas's 8. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Barcelona (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nadal | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rafael Nadal | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 76% | 19/25 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 31% | 5/16 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 27% | 11/41 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 12/27 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 58% | 7/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 42% | 11/26 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 92% | 23/25 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 76% | 19/25 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nadal 2, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2021
Barcelona
C Clay · Final
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 19, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 15, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 16, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 23, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 29, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.87 |
| ROI % | - | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–46 matches
| Metric | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 57% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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