Alexander Zverev vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Rafael Nadal have met 9 times since 2016; Rafael Nadal leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Nadal leads 4–2. On hard courts Zverev leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nadal leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 11 sets to Nadal's 9. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Roland Garros (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Nadal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Jun 2, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 20, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 13, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 11, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | - |
| ROI % | -5.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 81–81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | - |
| Sets won | 67% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 4 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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