Alexander Zverev vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Rafael Nadal have met 10 times since 2016; Rafael Nadal leads 6–4. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Nadal leads 5–2. On hard courts Zverev leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nadal leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 11 sets to Nadal's 11. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Nadal 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Zverev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 2, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
May 14, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 7, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 20, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 13, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 11, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | - |
| ROI % | -6.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 88–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | - |
| Sets won | 72% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 5 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 5 |
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